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Iowa Republicans were a clear reflection of that on Monday night, delivering the former president an emphatic victory. As clear-cut as his win was, though, Iowa has not historically played the role of kingmaker in the Republican nominating process. He chose to appear at court hearings as a defendant in his legal cases in New York and Washington rather than speak to Iowa voters in the final days before the voting. With its more moderate, educated electorate, New Hampshire presents Trump’s rivals with possibly their best opportunity to slow his march. Trump's strength among Republican voters is beyond dispute, but the road is long and could be bumpy.

Persons: — Donald, Joe Biden, kingmaker, Trump, He’s, didn’t, Biden, Nikki Haley, Bush, John McCain, Walter Mondale, Gary Hart, Haley, “, Iowans, caucusgoers, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, RAMASWAMY, Vivek Ramaswamy’s quixotic, Ramaswamy, Eminem, Chris Christie Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican Party, White House, Iowa Republicans, AP VoteCast, Former South Carolina Gov, Colorado, Democratic, U.S, Supreme, Trump, Republican, Florida Gov, MAGA, White, Trump Trump, Republican White House Locations: Iowa, New York, Washington, New Hampshire, Hampshire, South Carolina, U.S, Florida, New Jersey, America

It also is one of the most substantial exceptions to the Posse Comitatus Act, which generally prohibits using the military for law enforcement purposes. Trump has spoken openly about his plans should he win the presidency, including using the military at the border and in cities struggling with violent crime. His plans also have included using the military against foreign drug cartels, a view echoed by other Republican primary candidates such as Florida Gov. The threats have raised questions about the meaning of military oaths, presidential power and who Trump could appoint to support his approach. William Banks, a Syracuse University law professor and expert in national security law, said a military officer is not forced to follow “unlawful orders."

Persons: Donald Trump, “, I’m, ”, ” Trump, Trump, don’t, Joseph Nunn, Brennan, “ There’s, Nunn, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Michael Flynn, Flynn, Charles Q, Brown, Joe Biden's, Lyndon Johnson, Dr, Martin Luther King Jr, Johnson, John F, Kennedy, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, George H.W, Bush, Rodney King, Michael O’Hanlon, O’Hanlon, Pat Ryan, Ryan, William Banks, Banks, ” Nunn, Jill Colvin, Michelle L, Price, Linley Sanders Organizations: WASHINGTON, New, Brennan Center for Justice, Florida Gov, South, Army, FBI, Trump, Pentagon, Joint Chiefs, Staff, U.S . Capitol, AP, Republican, Washington, Civil, 101st Airborne, Central High School, National Guard, Brookings Institution, Democratic, U.S . Military Academy, Syracuse University, Associated Press Locations: Iowa, New York City, Chicago, Florida, South Carolina, U.S, Baltimore , Chicago, Rock , Arkansas, Los Angeles, New York, West, Washington

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — The statewide battles over abortion rights since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned a constitutional right to abortion have exposed another fault line: the commitment to democracy. "We spoke.”Gross told Jackson she wasn't ignoring voters but rather was reflecting opponents' concerns that Ohio voters were led astray. Anti-abortion lawmakers and advocates already have pushed back in a handful of states where voters sided generally with abortion rights. Republican state legislative leaders initially pledged that the fight to restrict abortion rights wasn't over after voters had spoken. Florida’s Republican attorney general is attempting to keep a proposed abortion rights amendment off the 2024 ballot.

Persons: We.Are.Not.Done, Jennifer Gross, Gross, Dobbs, Roe, Wade, Douglas Keith, Brennan, “, ” Keith, Emily Jackson, Jackson, ” Gross, ”, Rick Santorum, Brandon Prichard, Ohio, Sophia Jordán Wallace, Myrna Perez, Andrew Whitehead, God, ” Whitehead, Mike DeWine, Dave Yost, Jason Stephens, Matt Huffman, Stephens, Huffman, State Jay Ashcroft, Kara Gross Organizations: Supreme, Justice’s, AP VoteCast, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Republican, Rep, University of Washington, Ohio University, Indiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis, Kentucky Republicans, “, Ohio, State, AP Locations: COLUMBUS , Ohio, U.S, ” Ohio, Ohio, Montana and Utah, Alaska and Kansas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, Montana, ”, In Missouri, Michigan, Florida

☆ How Democrat Brandon Presley could win the Mississippi governor's race and pull off one of the biggest political upsets of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Democratic nominee Brandon Presley has made the Mississippi gubernatorial contest a real race. While most voters in Mississippi may not care for national Democrats (including some Democrats), Presley has effectively presented himself as a different kind of Democrat. Black voters made up 29% of the statewide electorate that year and Biden won their vote 94%-5% over Trump. Presley has heavily courted Black voters, which has included visits to churches and the state's Historically Black colleges and universities (HBCUs). AdvertisementAdvertisementStructural geographic disadvantages remain a lingering issue for Mississippi Democrats, but Presley has a real chance at overcoming that dynamic on Tuesday.

Persons: Brandon Presley, Presley, Tate Reeves, —, Ronnie Musgrove's, Jimmy Carter, he's, Elvis Presley, Reeves, Mason, Dixon, Brandon Bell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Jim Hood underperformed, Mike, Hood, Georgia Presley, Jackson, Musgrove, Democrats —, Michael Parker, Parker Organizations: Democratic, GOP, Republican Gov, Service, Magnolia Tribune, Democrats, Mississippi electorate, AP, Trump, Black, Getty, Democratic Senate, Mississippi Democrat, Mississippi State University, Gwinnett, Mississippi Gov, Mississippi, Democrat, Mississippi House, Mississippi Democrats Locations: Mississippi, Brandon , Mississippi, Nettleton, Jackson , Mississippi, . Mississippi, Georgia, Atlanta, Cobb , DeKalb, Fulton County

Gene Sperling, the White House liaison for the strike talks, was in daily contact with executives at the UAW and the three automakers. By that point, there was enough trust that the misunderstanding did little from the White House perspective to hurt the relationship. The UAW president declined to endorse the president who had engaged in the historic outreach. So as I said we’ll do that when it’s time.”Still, the White House saw itself as building trust with the UAW as the talks progressed. As soon as a tentative agreement was in place, Barra told the gathered negotiators that she needed to text the White House.

Persons: Joe Biden, Shawn Fain, Biden, Fain, Gene Sperling, Sperling, We’re, Donald Trump, “ I’m, ” Biden, ”, Julie Su, Su, umbrage, “, ” Fain, “ We’ll, Ford, Stellantis, Mary Barra, Barra, Tom Krisher Organizations: WASHINGTON, United Auto Workers, General Motors, UAW, GM, Ford, Chrysler, Democratic, White, Democratic White Houses, Associated Press, Democrats, AP VoteCast, Republican, Labor, Biden, AP Locations: Delaware, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Detroit

Also on Tuesday's Ohio ballot is a statewide ballot measure to legalize recreational adult use of marijuana. Here’s a look at what to expect on election night:ELECTION DAYThe statewide election in Ohio will be held on Tuesday. DECISION NOTESThe Aug. 8 statewide ballot measure vote provides a reasonable baseline estimate of support for Tuesday’s proposed amendment on abortion. In that contest, 57% of voters supported the position generally backed by abortion rights advocates, while 43% sided with the position generally adopted by abortion rights opponents. In the Aug. 8 ballot measure election, the AP first reported results at 7:35 p.m.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Tuesday’s, Donald Trump, Trump, it’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Supreme, AP, Press, WHO Locations: Ohio, U.S, . Ohio, Cincinnati, Dayton

Located just north of Miami Beach, the Shul of Bal Harbour is in the heart of South Florida's Jewish community. If Florida is to regain its status as a perennially competitive state, how Jewish voters perceive Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas war will be critical. In South Florida, rabbis and community leaders are pushing their congregations to call their lawmakers and insist they back Israel as it ramps up its offensive. About 43% of Florida's Jewish voters supported Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, compared with 30% of Jewish voters who supported him nationwide, according to AP VoteCast. Ron DeSantis won 45% of Jewish voters in his re-election, when he flipped traditionally Democratic Miami-Dade County while also winning a majority of Latino voters statewide.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden's, ”, Georg Lipsztein, Donald Trump, he’s, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Biden, “ I’ve, Israel, Eric, Jacob Solomon, “, Lauren Book, Rabbi Andrew Jacobs, ” Jacobs, Julio Frenk, Nicole Segal Organizations: Florida Gov, Republican, Gaza, Democratic, Miami, U.S, Rep, GOP, Florida International University, East Institute, AP VoteCast ., AP VoteCast . Florida Gov, Democratic Miami, Brandeis University, Greater Miami Jewish Federation, Israel Zionist, Florida State Senate, Associated Press, Stanford University, Cornell University, University of Miami, Israel Locations: SURFSIDE, Florida, Miami Beach, Bal Harbour, South, Israel, South Florida, DeSantis, Dade County, Fort Lauderdale, Michigan, Gaza, Washington, AP VoteCast . Florida, Miami’s, Pompano Beach, Central, South America, U.S, North America, Ramat, United States, California, New York

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — Abortion access is expected to play a central role in the 2024 elections. The preview comes next week, when Ohio voters decide whether to enshrine reproductive rights in their state Constitution. They question whether state lawmakers could pass any abortion restrictions at all that would pass constitutional muster if voters approve the amendment. AP VoteCast polling last year found that 59% of Ohio voters say abortion should generally be legal. “Ohio voters really know what's at stake here, because they've seen the incredible lengths that the Ohio government will go to to interfere in people's lives,” McGuire said.

Persons: Timmaraju, ”, Wade, Kelsey Pritchard, “, Frank LaRose, Dave Yost, Mike DeWine, DeWine, enshrine Roe, Carolyn Ehrlich, Christian Virtue, Megan Wold, Peter Range, Kimberly Inez McGuire, Ohio's, Roe, McGuire, they've, ” McGuire, ” ___ Fernando Organizations: Ohio, U.S, Supreme, SBA, Republican, GOP, Republicans, Ohio Senate, Ohio Catholic Conference, Protect, First Congregational Church, ACLU, Center, Christian, Christian Virtue and, Protect Women, AP, Life, Ohio Statehouse, Ohioans United, Reproductive, Ohio Association of Election, “, Associated Press Locations: COLUMBUS , Ohio, Ohio, Arizona , Nevada, Pennsylvania, — California , Kansas , Kentucky, Michigan, Montana, Vermont, lockstep, Protect Women Ohio, Columbus, The Ohio, Christian Virtue and Ohio, U.S, Republican Kansas, “ Ohio, Chicago

I really do,” Lake told an adoring crowd of Michigan Republicans gathering last month on Mackinac Island. Lake will launch a U.S. Senate campaign for an Arizona seat in a splashy Scottsdale rally on Tuesday, having never conceded that she lost last year's race for Arizona governor. She is trying out new messages and courting the support of national Republicans she’s insulted in the past. That worries some Republicans who fear she will cost them a race that could decide control of the Senate. But Lake became a national figure on the far right with her television appearances and her defense of Trump's election falsehoods.

Persons: — Kari Lake, Who's, ” Lake, Republicans she’s, Donald Trump, Kari Lake, ”, Chris Baker, Kentucky Sen, Mitch McConnell, Lake, she's, Sen, Kyrsten Sinema, Sinema, Ruben Gallego, Steve Daines, Daines, Trump, Steve Bannon, John McCain, Katie Hobbs, Stephen Richer, Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, Lake demurred, “, McConnell, Chuck Schumer, Schumer, It’s, Ted Cruz, ’, Steve Peoples, Linley Sanders Organizations: PHOENIX, Michigan Republicans, U.S, Senate, Arizona, Republicans, Kentucky, National Republican, GOP, U.S . Rep, Democratic, National Republican Senatorial Committee, “, Associated Press, AP VoteCast, Trump, Arizona Supreme, Republican, Arizona Republicans, Pinal County Sheriff, September's Republican, Democrats, AP, McConnell Locations: Michigan, Mackinac, Arizona, Scottsdale, an Arizona, Montana, Washington, California, America, ”, Phoenix, Iowa, Maricopa County, Pinal County, Ted Cruz of Texas, New York

The message is one more indication of the political and security challenges the U.S.-Mexico border has presented for President Joe Biden. The Biden administration this week took two actions seen by many as moving to the right on immigration. The White House counters that migration has surged across the Western Hemisphere due to regional challenges out of the administration's control. So they are on the streets.”Despite his 2020 promises on the border, Biden has long been more moderate on the issue than some in his party. It hasn’t worked for them before and it won’t work for them this cycle either,” said Pili Tobar, a former senior Biden White House official and Democratic strategist.

Persons: Donald Trump, ” It’s, Sherrod Brown, “ Ohioans, ”, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump’s, Veronica Escobar, ” Biden, Trump, “ MAGA, Donald Trump’s playbook, Kevin Munoz, Trump’s, Eric Adams, implore, “, Escobar, Auri Lugo, Lugo, she's, Barack Obama, hasn’t, Pili Tobar, ___ Weissert, Linley Sanders Organizations: MIAMI, Border Patrol, Sen, Ohio Democrat, Democrat, PAC, White, of Homeland Security, Biden, Congress, “ MAGA Republicans, Trump, Conservative, Democratic, Republican, O’Hare, New York, Marquette Law School, Republicans, Senate, AP VoteCast, Biden White House, Associated Press Locations: U.S, Ohio, Mexico, South Texas, Venezuela, Veronica Escobar of Texas, El Paso, Chicago, New, New York City, VoteCast, Charlotte , North Carolina, Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Colombia, Washington

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — Ohio Supreme Court justices vigorously questioned the state's lawyer Wednesday about a legal strategy that Ohio is attempting in hopes of reviving its law banning on abortions except in the earliest weeks of pregnancy. The state is also challenging whether Preterm Cleveland and other Ohio clinics have the necessary legal standing to sue. The legal battle over the law comes as a proposed constitutional amendment that would protect abortion access in Ohio will go before voters in November. Preterm's attorney, B. Jessie Hill, argued that the state's decision to appeal the stay at the Ohio Supreme Court defies “long-standing, well-established rules" on such actions. Ohio clinics then brought their challenge to state court, arguing that a similar right to the procedure exists under the Ohio Constitution.

Persons: Benjamin Flowers, peppering, Flowers, Christian Jenkins, Mike DeWine, Jenkins, ” Flowers, Dave Yost's, Jessie Hill, Hill, they’re, Roe, Wade, ”, Jennifer Brunner, “, “ It's, Yost Organizations: —, Republican Gov, Supreme, AP VoteCast, Ohio Locations: COLUMBUS , Ohio, — Ohio, Ohio, Cleveland, Hamilton, U.S

The video posted on the X platform, formerly known as Twitter, caught the attention of Jonathan Riley, a liberal activist in Durham, North Carolina, who posted Sunday that it showed “Missouri Republicans at a literal book burning," though he'd later walk that statement back to a “metaphorical” book burning. “It fit a narrative that they wanted to put out there,” Freedom Fest organizer Debbie McFarland said about claims that Eigel burned books. Experts who study political extremism said images involving fire or bonfires have long been associated with extremist groups. Eigel’s critics quickly posted online images involving the Ku Klux Klan and Nazi book burnings before World War II. Talking about book burning enough can plant the idea in people's minds so that ”people think it’s actually a righteous thing to do."

Persons: Louis, Sen, Bill Eigel, ” Eigel, Eigel, ”, Kurt Braddock, Jonathan Riley, he'd, Debbie McFarland, Mike Parson, State Jay Ashcroft, Mike Kehoe, Ashcroft, Gregg Keller, Eigel’s, “, Eric Greitens, Flamethowers, Donald Trump, Kristi Noem’s, Evan Perkoski, it's, ” “, Javed Ali, Braddock, ” Eigel's, Ali, he’s, ___ Hanna, ___, John Hanna Organizations: JEFFERSON CITY, Missouri, Associated Press, ”, American University, Republicans, Twitter, Missouri Republicans, Gov, State, AP, GOP, Ku, Navy, Senate, Name, torching, Ku Klux Klan, University of Connecticut, University of Michigan Locations: Mo, St, Missouri, Washington, Defiance , Missouri, Durham , North Carolina, Jefferson City, U.S, Arizona, Alabama, South Dakota, Topeka , Kansas

But union leaders say Trump's record in the White House speaks for itself. While the United Auto Workers union has withheld an endorsement in the 2024 presidential race, its leadership has repeatedly rebuffed Trump. Despite Trump's history of success in courting blue-collar workers in previous elections, union leaders say their members would do well to believe their own eyes. As president, Trump largely sat on the sidelines during a 40-day walkout at a General Motors plant in 2019. “President Trump has always been on the side of American workers,” his campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said in a statement.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’ll, Trump, “, Dave Green, Mark McManus, Ron Bieber, you’re, Peter Berg, ”, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Trump's, Green, ” Green, “ Banks, Biden, Price, Linley Sanders Organizations: Detroit, United Auto Workers, Union, U.S, Supreme, Trump, UAW, Ohio, National Labor Relations Board, Republican, Trump -, ” Michigan AFL, Associated Press, Michigan State University, General Motors, Republicans, Democratic Party, AP, Democrats Locations: LANSING, Mich, Trump, Michigan, Detroit, Toledo , Ohio, Indiana, ”, California, U.S, Ohio, Lordstown , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, New York, Washington

And Biden isn’t the only candidate trying to line up support among young voters. Former President Donald Trump, the frontrunner for the Republican nomination in his comeback bid for the White House, visited Iowa State University last weekend. “And that’s not happening so far.”Biden won 61% of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 in 2020, according to AP VoteCast, making young voters a critical part of his coalition. The White House has worked with online influencers to reach people who don't rely on traditional media. On Thursday, Harris repeatedly tried to demonstrate that she understood young voters’ concerns.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Jaden Clemons, Layth Carpenter, Harris, ”, Joe Biden, Clemons, Biden, they're, Donald Trump, “, Trump, John Brabender, Isaac Gavin, ” Sen, Mitt Romney, ” Biden, ” Harris, Kevin Munoz, isn’t, John Della Volpe, “ It’s, Della Volpe, Destiny Humphreys, they’re, Carpenter, ___ Price, Ayanna Alexander, Farnoush Amiri Organizations: —, Hampton University, Howard University, White, Republican, Iowa State University, Alpha Gamma Rho, University of Iowa, YouTube, Drake University, Utah Republican, U.S . Capitol, AP, North Carolina, Democratic National Committee, Biden, Democrats, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, South Carolina State University, U.S, Supreme Locations: HAMPTON, Va, Hampton, Las Vegas, Des Moines, Utah, United States, Greensboro, N.C, —, New York, Beaumont, Des Moines , Iowa, Orangeburg, S.C, Washington

☆ South Carolina and Nebraska lawmakers voted down abortion bans, exposing a chasm on the issue for Republicans
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Associated Press | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

— Abortion bans in deeply conservative Nebraska and South Carolina both fell short of advancing in close legislative votes amid heated debates among Republicans, yet another sign that abortion is becoming a difficult issue for the GOP. In South Carolina, lawmakers voted 22-21 to shelve a near-total abortion ban for the rest of the year. Katie Glenn, the state policy director for Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America, characterized the failure of both proposed abortion bans as disappointing. The failure to advance abortion restrictions has confounded conservatives who dominate both Nebraska and South Carolina and exposed a chasm on the issue of abortion within the GOP. Riepe and some Republicans across the country have noted evidence pointing to abortion bans as unpopular with a majority of Americans.

☆ Biden at 80: A ‘respecter of fate’ considers a second White House bid
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

US President Joe Biden disembarks from Air Force One upon his arrival at the airport of Egypt's Red Sea resort city of Sharm El-Sheikh, to attend the COP27 climate conference, on November 11, 2022. It's soon time for Joe Biden, 80 on Sunday, to decide whether he has one more mountain to climb — the one to a second term as president. Getty: President Joe Biden gives remarks on student debt relief at Delaware State University on October 21, 2022 in Dover, Delaware. "While President Biden may chronologically be 80 years old, biologically he probably isn't," he said. U.S. President Joe Biden smiles during a rally with Democratic nominee for Maryland Governor Wes Moore, U.S.

☆ GOP Gains College-Educated and Minority Voters in Slim House Pickup
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-19 | by ( Aaron Zitner | Anthony Debarros | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

In making modest gains in House seats this year, Republicans drew more support from minority and college-educated voters than in other recent elections, chipping away at important pillars of the Democratic coalition in ways that could better position the party for the next election. Republicans narrowed the Democratic advantage among Latino voters, Black voters and white women with college degrees—important components of the Democratic voter pool—according to AP VoteCast, a large survey of midterm participants. GOP House candidates won a majority of white women in the nation’s suburbs, a swing group that helped power the Democratic Party to its House majority in 2018 and backed President Biden in 2020.

☆ The GOP’s Lost Independents
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Republican midterm election losses are piling up, as Democrats retained the Senate over the weekend and may still retake the House. An honest examination is in order as the recriminations fly, and the most striking midterm result so far is how the GOP lost the middle of the electorate in crucial races for Congress. In the two main election surveys, more Republicans than Democrats turned out to vote: 36% to 33% in the national media exit poll, and 49% to 43% in the AP VoteCast. Republicans could get a majority share of the final House vote without getting a House majority. So much for the GOP’s supposed gerrymandering edge.

☆ Senate Control Could Be Decided by These Remaining Midterm Votes
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( Danny Dougherty | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

As votes are tabulated in the races that will determine control of the Senate, the speed at which votes are counted can vary widely within each state. That can lead to changes in who is leading the race at a particular point in time. The Associated Press will declare a winner in a race when it is determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidate to close the gap. That decision is informed by votes that have already been tallied, results from the AP VoteCast survey of why voters voted how they did, and an estimate of the total votes expected to be cast. The expected vote total is determined by AP’s proprietary research, knowledge and expertise; it will vary over the course of the election tabulation, based on the incoming total votes at any given time for the race.

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